Loss Forecasting Manager

Apidel Technologies

Wilmington, DE

JOB DETAILS
SKILLS
Actuals, Communication Skills, Consulting, Credit Cards, Credit Risk, Forecasting, Loan Structuring, Management Consulting, Process Improvement, Project Tracking, Stochastic Analysis, Variance Analysis
LOCATION
Wilmington, DE
POSTED
30+ days ago

Role Summary
Candidate should have significant experience in US credit card industry, in Loss forecasting or Credit Policy strategy space. Candidate should demonstrate good communication skills, working with various clients and the ability to clearly articulate forecasts, reasons for forecasts and how they tie to recent trends and macro-economic conditions.

Responsibilities
Senior Management Consulting Summary:

Ability to deliver clear, structured, and concise summaries of complex situations for senior stakeholders
Consulting-style articulation is essential distilling what happened, why it matters, and what actions are recommended
Strong emphasis on credit policy integration, ensuring recommendations align with established frameworks.
Skilled in synthesizing key insights into crisp narratives and executive-ready presentations

Credit Policy Integration: Translate credit policy decisions into portfolio forecasts
Should be conversant with maturation, impact of policy change on loss trajectory

Variance Analysis: Project and track actuals, explaining variances against the forecast including underlying drivers of change

Model Incorporation: Work with a range of models, including vintage-driven, stochastic and challenger orthogonal models

Role breakdown:
Manages the overall engagement with team of 4-5 members
Expected to be 50% individual contributor, handling coding, Excel modeling and deck preparation

Ideal candidate profile:

Strong proficiency in vintage models, roll rate models, and stochastic time series models
Must work in office atleast 4 days a week Wilmington, DE preferred, NYC alternate
US credit cards experience in credit risk
Credit cards policy experience (Acquisition credit policy preferred, ECM acceptable)
Hands-on coding in Python & SQL


About the Company

A

Apidel Technologies